Breakdown scenarios: Walk across that burning bridge

Why, I’ve heard you’ve been seen with some other man?
Hey all I want you to do, is tell me that it isn’t true – says Fatal Flowers

Tell me that this isn’t true

The coming decade will see the crumbling of the European nation states as the cognitariat – the digitally literate middle class- will script its own forms of solidarity (with its familiar national and international cognitariat) breaking with the 19th century installed democratic institutions starting with the health, educational and security systems, causing the start of new class wars between the disempowered vast majority of non-cognitariat unemployed and the cognitariat which breaks away from national solidarity.

Trends:

-extreme regionalization; crumbling of nation states and networked forms of organization led by the recognition of the digitally literate middle class that de facto there are no more individual nation states ( no more currency (euro), no more law ( 70-80% out of Brussels). There is no publicly shared common agenda (multicultural debate/muslim terrorism-racism- 15% rise in emigration in Holland over past four years) and networked forms of organisations will emerge that will stop paying taxes to these perceived empty shells as they can provide health (medication online, operations in Poland, India), security (local emergencies), education ( home schooling/internet) much better on their own then in this now redundant layer of organization. Resulting in: new middle ages.
-breakdown of high end infrastrucure of design for disappearance (Ambient Intelligence) will demand design for visibility: experience the design and ontological principles of ad hoc networks.
– opportunistic networking in messy environments: design for emergence is design for localities and regionalization.

Unless we find new ways of scripting new forms of solidarities with digital technology, it seems like we can envisage two roads that both lead to less dialogue, less communication, less innovation, less business opportunities, less sustainable options. The one focuses on control in a fundamentally flux wireless environment. The other focuses on hiding the technological complexity behind ever more simple user friendly interfaces. In both cases there is no learning by citizens on how to function within such a system, thereby opening up all kinds of breakdown scenarios.

Just tell me that isn’t true
One more time

Published in: on September 23, 2006 at 7:33 pm  Leave a Comment  

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